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Examples

Fourteen scripts in examples/, each of which runs and asserts its own claims — so they cannot drift out of date without failing.

python examples/04_tail_dependence.py
pytest tests/test_examples.py     # run them all

Foundations

01 Build a copula, evaluate it, sample it
02 Sklar's theorem both ways; the Fréchet bounds
03 What each dependence measure sees, and what it misses
04 Tail dependence: what τ does not tell you

Inference

05 Five estimators, and standard errors that are calibrated
06 Goodness of fit, family selection, cross-validation

Applications

07 Portfolio VaR, expected shortfall, CoVaR, stress testing
08 CDO tranches, the correlation skew, the 2008 failure mode
09 Basket, rainbow, spread and CMS spread options
10 Pairs trading on conditional copula probabilities
11 Copula-GARCH: volatility in time, dependence in the cross-section
12 Operational-risk capital, reinsurance layers, cat bonds
28 How-to: a vine copula on market returns, step by step
29 How-to: risk management for a multi-desk book
30 How-to: copula trading strategies, pairs to vine baskets
31 How-to: valuing odd assets under different tails
32 How-to: copulas for an 800-stock basket

Beyond finance

13 Kendall return periods for flood frequency
14 Asymmetric dependence and both-tail mixtures

Numbers these produce

All at identical Kendall's τ, so none of it is visible to a rank correlation:

  • Six families, two-line loss portfolio: 99% ES spans 29%, and plain Clayton lands below the Gaussian.
  • CDO senior tranche, t copula vs Gaussian: 3× worse.
  • Operational risk across seven cells: Gumbel costs 20% more capital.
  • Flood frequency, five families: Kendall return periods span a factor of 33.